Posted in: Latest News

UW model predicts that 30000 people could be saved if 95% of people wear masks.

A model from the University of Washington predicted that the US could prevent about 33,000 coronavirus deaths by October if 95% of the population wore face masks in public.

Even if people wore masks that are only 50% effective at trapping infectious particles when they breathe, universal adoption of masks would still stop an outbreak, the UK study showed.

That research aligns with findings from Arizona State University, which showed that “broad adoption of even relatively ineffective face masks may meaningfully reduce community transmission of COVID-19.”

The university’s models in April determined that if nearly everyone in New York state wore a mask, up to 45% of projected deaths over two months could be prevented — even if the masks were only 50% effective. In Washington state, the model showed, face masks that are only 20% effective but worn by most of the population could still reduce mortality by up to 65%.

 

Source: Business Insider

Posted in: Latest News, Latest Science

239 Scientists say Covid -19 spreads through air

239 scientists in 32 countries have outlined the evidence showing that smaller particles can infect people, and are calling for the agency to revise its recommendations. The researchers plan to publish their letter in a scientific journal next week.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now says surfaces are likely to play only a minor role.

Experts all agree that the coronavirus does not behave that way. Dr. Marr and others said the coronavirus seemed to be most infectious when people were in prolonged contact at close range, especially indoors, and even more so in superspreader events — exactly what scientists would expect from aerosol transmission.

“There is no incontrovertible proof that SARS-CoV-2 travels or is transmitted significantly by aerosols, but there is absolutely no evidence that it’s not,” said Dr. Trish Greenhalgh, a primary care doctor at the University of Oxford in Britain.

“So at the moment we have to make a decision in the face of uncertainty, and my goodness, it’s going to be a disastrous decision if we get it wrong,” she said. “So why not just mask up for a few weeks, just in case?”

W.H.O. guidance misleading:

Even in its latest update on the coronavirus, released June 29, the W.H.O. said airborne transmission of the virus is possible only after medical procedures that produce aerosols, or droplets smaller than 5 microns. (A micron is equal to one millionth of a meter.)

Proper ventilation and N95 masks are of concern only in those circumstances, according to the W.H.O. Instead, its infection control guidance, before and during this pandemic, has heavily promoted the importance of handwashing as a primary prevention strategy, even though there is limited evidence for transmission of the virus from surfaces. (The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now says surfaces are likely to play only a minor role.)

The W.H.O. tends to describe “an absence of evidence as evidence of absence,” Dr. Aldis added. In April, for example, the W.H.O. said, “There is currently no evidence that people who have recovered from Covid-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection.”

Source: NYT

Posted in: Latest News, Latest Science

Is it safe to gather outdoors?

A Japanese study of 100 cases found that the odds of catching the coronavirus are nearly 20 times higher indoors than outdoors. Outdoor gatherings lower risk because wind disperses viral droplets, and sunlight can kill some of the virus. Open spaces prevent the virus from building up in concentrated amounts and being inhaled, which can happen indoors when infected people exhale in a confined space for long stretches of time, said Dr. Julian W. Tang, a virologist at the University of Leicester. [source NYT]

Posted in: Best Masks, Latest News, Latest Science

Statistics show effectiveness of facemasks

The science of masks is multifaceted but the conclusion is simple: masks are effective

mask
Credit: CC0 Public Domain

A data scientist Jeremy Howard, at the University of San Francisco that teach courses online in machine learning for fast.ai. In late March, Jeremy decided to use public mask-wearing as a case study to show his students how to combine and analyze diverse types of data and evidence.

Much to his surprise, he discovered that the evidence for wearing masks in public was very strong. It appeared that universal mask-wearing could be one of the most important tools in tackling the spread of COVID-19. Yet the people around him weren’t wearing masks and health organizations in the U.S. weren’t recommending their use.

He, along with 18 other experts from a variety of disciplines, conducted a review of the research on public mask-wearing as a tool to slow the spread SARS-CoV-2. They published a preprint of our paper on April 12 and it is now awaiting peer review at the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Since then, there have been many more reviews that support mask-wearing.

Source The Conversation

Posted in: Latest News, Latest Science

Office cough simulated by super computer

Japan’s RIKEN Center for Biosystems Dynamics Research, also known as the Institute of Physical and Chemical Research, recently ran a simulation of what happens to all the particles that fly out of a person’s mouth when they cough. The video below shows the results, and as you’ll see when you hit play, they’re disgusting and disturbing.

Disgusting truth of what happens when someone coughs without covering their mouth revealed【Video】